Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.166783 0.187932 0.210159 0.235207 0.262594 0.291574 0.324501
2025-03-30 0.137980 0.166409 0.197874 0.235097 0.277735 0.324854 0.380662
2025-04-06 0.116957 0.149788 0.187802 0.234674 0.290491 0.354404 0.432668
2025-04-13 0.100560 0.136113 0.179004 0.233878 0.301486 0.381302 0.481836
2025-04-20 0.089203 0.126989 0.174294 0.236828 0.316191 0.412376 0.536460
2025-04-27 0.081376 0.121292 0.172959 0.243272 0.334850 0.448379 0.597859
2025-05-04 0.072835 0.113602 0.168122 0.244422 0.346279 0.475266 0.648356
2025-05-11 0.067146 0.109148 0.166999 0.250004 0.363237 0.509310 0.708564
2025-05-18 0.062462 0.105578 0.166626 0.256259 0.380981 0.544599 0.771093
2025-05-25 0.056012 0.098711 0.160965 0.254598 0.387589 0.565082 0.814495
2025-06-01 0.050753 0.093107 0.156600 0.254291 0.395721 0.587500 0.860712
2025-06-08 0.045934 0.087694 0.152040 0.253252 0.402502 0.607979 0.904541
2025-06-15 0.043030 0.085228 0.151902 0.258894 0.419293 0.643118 0.969899
2025-06-22 0.039091 0.080621 0.148063 0.258641 0.427364 0.666195 1.019136
2025-06-29 0.035512 0.076262 0.144253 0.258109 0.434826 0.688440 1.067598
2025-07-06 0.032238 0.072095 0.140412 0.257208 0.441531 0.709600 1.114856
2025-07-13 0.030018 0.069638 0.139213 0.260367 0.454387 0.739861 1.175627
2025-07-20 0.028627 0.068616 0.140355 0.267304 0.473210 0.779227 1.250253
2025-07-27 0.026444 0.065806 0.138157 0.268537 0.483040 0.805418 1.306222
2025-08-03 0.025159 0.064671 0.138830 0.274550 0.500539 0.843380 1.380092
2025-08-10 0.024066 0.063821 0.139937 0.281289 0.519332 0.883642 1.458073
2025-08-17 0.021928 0.060503 0.136245 0.279497 0.524155 0.902673 1.504802
2025-08-24 0.020162 0.057800 0.133497 0.279165 0.531251 0.925227 1.557110